My 2012 Emmy Picks

Sunday, September 23, 2012

Well folks, it's that time of year.  Awards season is kicking off (and yeah, the VMAs already happened, but I'm talking the majors here -- Emmys, Golden Globes, Grammys, Oscars).  The big leagues start tonight with the Prime Time Emmy Awards.

I'm going to let you in on a secret -- I LOVE awards shows.  I haven't really watched many of them in recent years (Sundays are often the day we socialize), but I still love them.  If we were better set up for entertaining (and if I had friends who actually liked awards shows), I would totally throw awards show parties.

Obviously, the two best things about awards shows are picking winners and seeing what everyone wears.  So today I'm going to give you my predictions for the big awards.  

Comedy Series
-"The Big Bang Theory" (CBS)
-"Curb Your Enthusiasm" (HBO)
-"Girls" (HBO)
-"Modern Family" (ABC)
-"30 Rock" (NBC)
-"Veep" (HBO)

There is a good crop of nominees this year, but I think Modern Family will take it yet again.  I think 30 Rock is a good contender, but Modern Family is honestly still the funniest half hour on TV (to me, anyway); I literally laugh out loud more watching it than any other show.

Lead Comedy Actor
-Jim Parsons as Sheldon Cooper in "The Big Bang Theory"
-Larry David as Himself in "Curb Your Enthusiasm"
-Don Cheadle as Marty Kaan in "House of Lies"
-Louis C.K. as Louie in "Louie"
-Alec Baldwin as Jack Donaghy in "30 Rock"
-John Cryer as Alan Harper in "Two and a Half Men"

This is a difficult category.  I think Louis C.K. should be recognized, but I know that the award will likely go to Emmy darlings Baldwin or Parsons.  They do both give good performances.

Lead Comedy Actress
-Leah Dunham as Hannah Horvath in "Girls"
-Melissa McCarthy as Molly Flynn in "Mike & Molly"
-Zooey Deschanel as Jess Day in "New Girl"
-Edie Falco as Jackie Peyton in "Nurse Jackie"
-Amy Poehler as Leslie Knope in "Parks and Recreation"
-Tina Fey as Liz Lemon in "30 Rock"
-Julia Louis-Dreyfus as Selina Meyer in "Veep"

Amy Poehler killed it this season on Parks and Rec.  Watching Leslie Knope's race for City Council was one of the great parts of the comedy season.  You couldn't not root for her.  Plus Pawnee is supposedly based on my own Indiana city (I don't believe it), so it makes it a little less embarrassing to be from Indiana.

Supporting Comedy Actor
-Ed O'Neill as Jay Pritchett in "Modern Family"
-Jesse Tyler Ferguson as Mitchell Pritchett in "Modern Family"
-Ty Burrell as Phil Dunphy in "Modern Family"
-Eric Stonestreet as Cameron Tucker in "Modern Family"
-Max Greenfield as Schmidt in "New Girl"
-Bill Hader as various characters in "Saturday Night Live"

While all the guys on Modern Family are great, Schmidt is the best part of New Girl, and I LOVE New Girl.  He's the perfect counterpoint to Zooey Deschanel's trying-to-hard-to-be-dorky Jess.

Supporting Comedy Actress
-Mayim Bialik as Amy Farrah Fowler in "The Big Bang Theory"
-Kathryn Joosten as Karen McCluskey in "Desperate Housewives"
-Julie Bowen as Claire Dunphy in "Modern Family"
-Sofia Vergara as Gloria Delgado-Pritchett in "Modern Family"
-Merritt Wever as Zoey Barkow in "Nurse Jackie"
-Kristen Wiig as various characters in "Saturday Night Live"

I wish Julie Bowen would win.  I've been such a fan of hers since I first saw her on Ed many years ago, and I think she's underutilized and underrated on Modern Family.  I think it will go to Mayim Bialik, though, which I'm okay with, because her portrayal of Amy kills me on TBBT.

Drama Series
-"Boardwalk Empire" (HBO)
-"Breaking Bad" (AMC)
-"Downton Abbey" (PBS)
-"Game of Thrones" (HBO)
-"Homeland" (Showtime)
-"Mad Men" (AMC)

I think Downton's going to take it.  People are suckers for English period pieces, and this one is spectacular. I think Game of Thrones is actually better, but the second season seemed to have a lot of sex just for the sake of having sex, and that will be what causes it to lose.

Lead Drama Actress
-Glenn Close as Patty Hewes in "Damages"
-Michelle Dockery as Lady Mary Crawley in "Downton Abbey"
-Julianna Margulies as Alicia Florrick in "The Good Wife"
-Kathy Bates as Harriet Korn in "Harry's Law"
-Claire Danes as Carrie Mathison in "Homeland"
-Elisabeth Moss as Peggy Olson in "Mad Men"

Claire Danes has always been underrated.  Anyone who's seen Romeo + Juliet knows the girl's got some chops, and now everybody else knows too, and the voters will certainly take note.  Michelle Dockery is awesome as Lady Mary though!

Lead Drama Actor
-Steve Buscemi as Nucky Thompson in "Boardwalk Empire"
-Bryan Cranston as Walter White in "Breaking Bad"
-Michael C. Hall as Dexter Morgan in "Dexter"
-Hugh Bonneville as Robert, Earl of Grantham in "Downton Abbey"
-Damian Lewis as Nicholas Brody in "Homeland"
-Jon Hamm as Don Draper in "Mad Men"

I think this is finally Hamm's year to win, but there's a chance Cranston will take it yet again.

Supporting Drama Actress
-Anna Gunn as Skyler White in "Breaking Bad"
-Maggie Smith as Violet, Dowager Countess of Grantham in "Downton Abbey"
-Joanne Froggatt as Anna in "Downton Abbey"
-Archie Panjabi as Kalinda Sharma in "The Good Wife"
-Christine Baranski as Diane Lockhart in "The Good Wife"
-Christina Hendricks as Joan Holloway in "Mad Men"

While I adore Maggie Smith in pretty much anything, Christina Hendricks was given a great storyline on Mad Men, and homegirl worked it.

Supporting Drama Actor
-Aaron Paul as Jesse Pinkman in "Breaking Bad"
-Giancarlo Esposito as Gustavo 'Gus' Fring in "Breaking Bad"
-Brendan Coyle as John Bates in "Downton Abbey"
-Jim Carter as Mr. Carson in "Downton Abbey"
-Peter Dinklage as Tyrion Lannister in "Game of Thrones"
-Jared Harris as Lane Pryce in "Mad Men"

If I picked who wins, I'd probably go with Brendan Coyle.  His Bates is glorious.  I love Peter Dinklage as Tyrion Lannister too, but I think other GoT actors gave better performances.  I've always loved Aaron Paul, and the voters are obsessed with Breaking Bad, so I expect him to take it.

Miniseries or TV Movie
-"American Horror Story" (FX)
-"Game Change" (HBO)
-"Hatfields and McCoys" (History)
-"Hemingway and Gellhorn" (HBO)
-"Luther" (BBC America)
-"Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia" (PBS)

I think it should be Hatfields & McCoys (SO GOOD!),  but politically-charged pieces always tend to take precedence.

Lead Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie
-Connie Britton as Vivien Harmon in "American Horror Story"
-Julianne Moore as Sarah Palin in "Game Change"
-Nicole Kidman as Martha Gellhorn in "Hemingway & Gellhorn"
-Ashley Judd as Rebecca Winstone in "Missing"
-Emma Thompson as She in "The Song of Lunch"

The other nominees, no matter how good their performances, really don't stand a chance.

Lead Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie
-Woody Harrelson as Steve Schmidt in "Game Change"
-Kevin Costner as 'Devil' Anse Hatfield in "Hatfields & McCoys"
-Bill Paxton as Randall McCoy in "Hatfields & McCoys"
-Clive Owen as Ernest Hemingway in "Hemingway & Gellhorn"
-Idris Elba as John Luther in "Luther"
-Benedict Cumberbatch as Sherlock Holmes in "Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia"

I really don't like Kevin Costner.  I think in general, he's a terrible actor (why was he the only person in Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves who didn't have an accent?  IN MEDIEVAL ENGLAND?!?!).  However, I think he did an really great job as Devil Anse.  You know he deserves and award if I'm actually lauding his performance.

I really don't like Kevin Costner.

Supporting Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie
-Frances Conroy as Moira in "American Horror Story"
-Jessica Lange as Constance Langdon in "American Horror Story"
-Sarah Paulson as Nicolle Wallace in "Game Change"
-Mare Winningham as Sally McCoy in "Hatfields & McCoys"
-Judy Davis as Jill Tankard in "Page Eight"

If Jessica Lange doesn't win, it will be a travesty.

Supporting Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie
-Dennis O'Hare as Larry Harvey in "American Horror Story"
-Ed Harris as John McCain in "Game Change"
-Tom Berenger as Tom Vance in "Hatfields & McCoys"
-David Strathairn as John Dos Passos in "Hemingway & Gellhorn"
-Martin Freeman as Dr. John Watson in "Sherlock: A Scandal in Belgravia"

Again, I think political fever will help Harris win.  The voters love a good political story.

What do you think of my picks?  What are yours?

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